Pro Cycling 2022 – News and Races

I know Weight Weenies has this kind of topic, but CT has a different group. I wanted to start earlier in the season, but I couldn’t.

The 2022 professional season. Jumbo-Visma is looking pretty good right now with the Tour around the corner…

Like last year !

Pogacar is a cut above the rest of the competition, he now has a better team around him and will be riding a new bike. I can’t see him losing unless he falls off his bike.

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I think the only way to beat Pot is to have several guys good enough to gang up on him. Assuming the main GC contenders aren’t willing to work for each other, that means teams need to have 2 runners who can hang on. Roglic and Ving seem like the best bet, but… I still think they’ll need some luck. Bora showed the merits of the satellite jumper strategy and I think others will have taken notice.

Pog has shown that he can have a few bad days, especially when it’s really hot, but those days are a) not that common and b) not that bad. He must be a big favourite, and barring illness or a fall, I think he will win. But I also think it will be tighter than last year; I say now (so you can all laugh later) that he will go into the final TT with a Most likely But no absolutely decisive advance.

WvA for Green seems like a good bet, but if Roglic is up there for the final week, I wonder if he’ll be asked to work for a bigger goal.

In other teams… I wonder if Bora will try to bring Hindley? I suppose not, but they and he must be tempted. Bardet must also aim for the top 5, I think.

Ineos will be interesting in the TDF, for the first time in a long time they won’t have a rider considered one of the favorites for the yellow jersey, realistically it could be Dani Martinez as the team leader. ‘crew.

I just checked Skybet and Pog is 8/13. It’s hilarious for a 3-week stage race where anything can happen, but also shows how much of a favorite he is.

I know Bernal is recovering well, but more likely to win the tour than Bardet? :roof:

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Not sure about Bardet, but I would give Bernal the same chance as Mas to cycle in Paris on the last stage.

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Never mind… the best defense is a good offense. Pog is strong enough to go with anyone and then simply drop him, negating the possibility of a teammate counterattack.

That’s exactly what he did last year…he just went out and destroyed everyone before tactics could kick in.

Nobody touches Pog, unless some disaster occurs.

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I know diehard cycling fans love to talk about all the intricacies of team tactics, but I’d love to know an example of the last time someone won the TDF because multiple riders on a team have been able to gang up on the strongest runner. In the race. In every edition that I can remember, the rider who achieves the best combination of ITT and high mountain finishes (without crashes or other major problems) wins. Everytime. It’s too tough a race over too many days with too strong a peloton.

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2008 TdF with Carlos Sastre……

But the fact that you have to go back so far and find only one example helps to illustrate how difficult and improbable it is to achieve this.

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I feel like at this point the GC race is the least interesting thing to follow in the TDF, unfortunately. You have to hope a side storyline develops, like Alaphilippe clinging to yellow, Cavendish going back in time, or Van der Poel doing Van der Poel things.

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I’ve always found the best way to watch a grand tour is to focus on the individual stage wins. The GC battle just adds some tactical distortions/distractions that can be fatal or benefit breaks depending on the situation.

There are finally some weird stages from time to time like stage 14 of the Giro this year where everything blows up but otherwise it’s pretty much a test of endurance, recovery and avoiding crashes and peloton splits for GC leaders so it’s usually pretty boring. It helps when the main TT comes at the end of the third week.

I would love to see Wout get his green because he could be built for it even more than Sagan was. Don’t aim for 10 :slight_smile:

Rog has the best chance to bring it to Pog, but he’s going to have to take bonus seconds here and there and then limit the losses after the kid’s explosive attacks. I think Rog is the smartest GT driver we’ve seen since Contador (yes yes, I said his name) so hopefully he can find ways to make it a competition.

Personally, as a fan, I would like Rog to dominate another Vuelta and maybe focus on that and the Giro instead of worrying about the TdF, but… I guess I’m pretty much alone in all of this!

The bonus seconds “here and there” will not compensate for the minutes gained everywhere else.

And I think Rog is starting to show the signs of inconsistency that come with age… he just hasn’t seemed as lively and always “on” as he once did.

I will keep dreaming of Pinot coming to Paris in yellow…love to see that happen. Maybe the polkas as he said are his best move.

Pog always looks good, I don’t think he can be challenged. On his first victory when jumbo did the sky train, it still didn’t stop him and this stage 20 tt.

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Rog missed his best chance of 2020… he should have been more ruthless on some stages after Pog got caught on this stage and lost this time. Instead, he thought he was safe and never put his boot to the race’s throat.

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I mean sure, but I don’t think he can win without a few bonus seconds.

For me, Rog has looked pretty solid in the Vueltas, and aside from that TT in the TdF a few years ago, pretty consistent otherwise. if he’s feeling nervous, he might have a chance…

Okay, there are ALWAYS good reasons to rack up extra time. you never know when you’ll need it…say…when a punk kid shows up and blasts the doors of a TT :slight_smile:

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